MyDD :: Turn Florida Blue! +1 in Mason-Dixon Poll

Turn Florida Blue! +1 in Mason-Dixon Poll

by Davidsfr, Wed Aug 27, 2008 at 10:47:20 PM EST

We got to get Florida switched to swell Obama's Electoral lead.

Mason Dixon polled this past Sunday thru Tuesday night and they show Obama ahead 45-44%.

The only way I can access the poll so far is through the polltracker on TPM. Click on the poll on the top of the list and it brings up a PDF:

http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsm emo.com/polltracker/

I personally don't hold Mason Dixon in very high regard--they are not as accurate as some claim them to be. But they usually aren't kind to democrats in the South, and Florida is at least partially in the South. So here, this pollster, this place, a 1 point lead may portend something more.

Tags: EV Tracker, Florida (all tags)

Permalink :: 6 Comments :: Post a Comment

Re: Turn Florida Blue! +1 in Mason-Dixon Poll (none / 0)

I see evidence in Conservative Sarasota. Obama stickers everywhere...

Motley Moose: Progress Through Politics

by chrisblask on Wed Aug 27, 2008 at 10:54:57 PM EST

Re: Turn Florida Blue! +1 in Mason-Dixon Poll (2.00 / 2)

I'm waiting for a "concerned" commenter to pop in and tell us it's good news for the Republicans and that Obama should be up by 50 points.

"In the unlikely story that is America, there has never been anything false about hope." -Barack Obama

by blueAZ on Wed Aug 27, 2008 at 11:23:39 PM EST

Re: Turn Florida Blue! +1 in Mason-Dixon Poll (none / 0)

Where is "I'm a vlouteer, but" Obamagurl? I'm sure she has to be concerned about peaking too early.

by IowaMike on Thu Aug 28, 2008 at 01:13:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Turn Florida Blue! +1 in Mason-Dixon Poll (none / 0)

FWIW a Strategic Vision (GOP organization) poll shows McCain up 7. I think the truth is somewhere in between, McCain has a narrow advantage in the state carried over from past Republican strength there, but Obama is more competitive than I thought he would be in that state. Remember those polls showing him down double digits in Florida? They weren't so long ago. Obama has gained significantly in the state and I would be shocked if he didn't improve on Kerry's 5 point loss.

by Skaje on Wed Aug 27, 2008 at 11:58:11 PM EST

Re: Turn Florida Blue! +1 in Mason-Dixon Poll (2.00 / 2)

Kerry's 5 point loss was during a period when Bush the incumbent won nationally by 2.5 points and the Florida state economy was much stronger than the national economy. None of those variables are in play this time.

If Obama wins the popular vote by 2-3 points he has every opportunity to drag Florida along. The state has classic swing state numbers, 20% liberals and 33% conservatives. The goofs who have been dismissing Florida are blindfolded simpletons who can see state polls and little else.

Recency is not as important as foundational truths. I learned that in '96 after sticking everything I could find in Excel databases. The states function in the voting booth based on their liberal/conservative breakdown adjusted by the landscape of the given cycle. This cycle is tilted in our direction.

by Gary Kilbride on Thu Aug 28, 2008 at 12:47:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Turn Florida Blue! +1 in Mason-Dixon Poll (none / 0)

Mason Dixon polls conservative. So if they show +1 for Obama so I will think it is 3 or 4 points higher. So thats a good thing. Now lets build on it.

by Sylden37 on Thu Aug 28, 2008 at 09:05:16 AM EST

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